Friday, March 16, 2018

Same number of fish, smaller pool

The promotion numbers that came out in January were pretty grim for logisticians. The Army selected only 235 out of 369 primary zone logistics captains for promotion to major, a mere 64 percent. This, compared with about 72 percent Army-wide. It fits with the Army's efforts to better shape the force -- drawing down the total number of soldiers on active duty, and pushing logistics units more toward the Reserve -- but it means tight competition for promotion. It has also led to some overly simplistic methods on what constitutes "our best Human Capital."

This got me thinking. My year group's promotion board meets this coming summer (YG2009). Do I face the same level of competition as this past year group? Having survived a tighter promotion rate to captain, then an Officer Selection Board that thinning us out even more, how many of us are there? So, I asked my brigade's S-1 how many YG2009 logistics captains are in the Army right now.

It turns out there are only 285, a 23% smaller pool compared with the previous year group.

Assuming the end promotion numbers stay the same, this year's board could be much more generous than the past four.

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